10 Year Projections
The 10-year projections-covering the 2004-14 decade-of economic growth,
employment by industry and occupation, and labor force are widely used
in career guidance, in planning education and training programs, and in
studying long-range employment trends. Still undecided? Complete a
Career Assessment.

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Industry employment
* Employment growth will continue to be concentrated in the
service-providing sector of the economy. Educational services,
health care and social assistance, and professional and business
services represent the industry sectors with the strongest
employment growth; these sectors are projected to grow more than
twice as fast as the overall economy. (See table 1.)
* Construction employment is projected to grow, but at a slower pace
than during the previous decade (1994-2004). Manufacturing
employment, however, is expected to decline by 5 percent, much less
than the 16 percent decline that occurred in the previous decade.
Nonetheless, employment in goods-producing industries is expected to
decrease from 15 percent to 13 percent of total employment.
* The 10 detailed industries with the largest wage and salary
employment growth, led by employment services, local government
education, and offices of physicians, are in the service-providing
sector. (See table 3a.)
* Eight out of the 10 detailed industries with the largest wage and
salary employment declines, including cut and sew apparel
manufacturing, are in the manufacturing sector. (See table 3b.) |
Occupational
employment
* Professional and related occupations and service occupations-two
groups on opposite ends of the educational and earnings ranges-are
projected to add the most jobs, accounting for 6 out of 10 new jobs
created over the 2004-14 period. (See table 2.)
* Business and financial operations occupations, professional and
related occupations, and service occupations are projected to grow
faster than the 13 percent average for all occupations.
* Production occupations and farming, fishing, and forestry
occupations are projected to lose employment over the period.
* Nine of the 10 fastest growing occupations are health or computer
(information technology) occupations. (See table 3c.)
* Five of the 10 occupations adding the most jobs are service
occupations. (See table 3d.)
Education and
training categories
* An associate or bachelor's degree is the most significant source
of postsecondary education or training for 6 of the 10 fastest
growing occupations. (See table 3c.)
* Short-term on-the-job training is the most significant source of
postsecondary education or training for 5 of the 10 occupations with
the largest job growth. (See table 3d.)
|
The 10
fastest growing occupations, 2004-14 |
(Numbers in
thousands of jobs)
Table 3c.
http://www.bls.gov/news.release/ecopro.t05.htm
|
Occupation |
Employment |
Change |
|
| |
2004 |
2014 |
Number |
Percent |
Most significant source of post-secondary education or
training. |
|
Home Health Aides |
624 |
974 |
350 |
56 |
Short Term on-the-job training |
|
Network Systems and Data Communications Analysts |
231 |
357 |
126 |
55 |
Bachelor's Degree |
|
Medical Assistants |
387 |
589 |
202 |
52 |
Moderate-term on-the-job
training |
|
Physician Assistants |
62 |
93 |
31 |
50 |
Bachelor's Degree |
|
Computer Software Engineers, Applications |
460 |
682 |
222 |
48 |
Bachelor's Degree |
|
Physical Therapist Assistants |
59 |
85 |
26 |
44 |
Associate Degree |
|
Dental Hygienists |
158 |
226 |
68 |
43 |
Associate Degree |
|
Computer Software Engineers, Systems Software |
340 |
486 |
146 |
43 |
Bachelor's Degree |
|
Dental Assistants |
267 |
382 |
114 |
43 |
Moderate-term on-the-job
training |
|
Personal and Home Care Aides |
701 |
988 |
287 |
41 |
Short-term on-the-job training |
|
(1) Each occupation is placed
into one of 11 categories that best describes the education
or training needed by most workers to become fully
qualified. For more information about the categories, see
Chapter II, "Selected Occupational Data, 2002 and Projected
2012" in Occupational Projections and Training Data,
Bulletin 2572 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, March 2004), pp.
66-67, or in Bulletin 2602, the forthcoming 2006-07 edition
of this publication. |
|
The 10 occupations with
the largest job growth, 2004-14 |
(Numbers in
thousands of jobs)
Table 3d.
http://www.bls.gov/news.release/ecopro.t06.htm
|
Occupation |
Employment |
Change |
|
| |
2004 |
2014 |
Number |
Percent |
Most significant source of post-secondary education or
training. |
|
Retail Salespersons |
4,256 |
4,992 |
736 |
17 |
Short-term on-the-job training |
|
Registered Nurses |
2,394 |
3,096 |
703 |
29 |
Associate Degree |
|
Postsecondary Teachers |
1,628 |
2,153 |
524 |
32 |
Doctoral Degree |
|
Customer Service Representative |
2,063 |
2,534 |
471 |
23 |
Moderate-term on-the-job training |
|
Janitors and Cleaners, except Maids and Housekeeping
Cleaners |
2,374 |
2,813 |
440 |
19 |
Short-term on-the-job training |
|
Waiters and Waitresses |
2,252 |
2,627 |
376 |
17 |
Short-term on-the-job training |
|
Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, including
Fast Food |
2,150 |
2,516 |
367 |
17 |
Short-term on-the-job training |
|
Home Health Aides |
624 |
974 |
350 |
56 |
Short-term on-the-job training |
|
Nursing Aides, Orderlies, and
Attendants |
1,455 |
1,781 |
325 |
22 |
Postsecondary Vocational Award |
|
General and Operations Managers |
1,807 |
2,115 |
308 |
17 |
Bachelor's or higher Degree, plus work experience |
| (1) Each
occupation is placed into one of 11 categories that best
describes the education or training needed by most workers
to become fully qualified. For more information about the
categories, see Chapter II, "Selected Occupational Data,
2002 and Projected 2012" in Occupational Projections and
Training Data, Bulletin 2572 (Bureau of Labor Statistics,
March 2004), pp. 66-67, or in Bulletin 2602, the forthcoming
2006-07 edition of this publication. |
| 10
Industries with the fastest wage and
salary employment growth 2004-14 |
(Numbers in
thousands of jobs)
Table 3a. The ,
2002-12
http://www.bls.gov/news.release/ecopro.t03.htm
|
Industry |
Employment |
Change |
| |
2004 |
2014 |
Number |
Percent |
|
Employment Services |
3,470.3 |
5,050.2 |
1,579.9 |
45.5 |
|
Local Government Educational Services |
7,762.5 |
8,545.5 |
783.0 |
10.1 |
|
Local Government, excluding education and hospitals |
5,485.6 |
6,249.3 |
763.7 |
13.9 |
|
Offices of Physicians |
2,053.9 |
2,813.4 |
759.5 |
37.0 |
|
Full-service Restaurants |
4,226.4 |
4,927.8 |
701.4 |
16.6 |
|
General Medical and Surgical Hospitals, Private |
4,050.9 |
4,699.0 |
648.1 |
16.0 |
|
Limited-service eating places |
3,726.7 |
4,318.6 |
591.9 |
15.9 |
|
Home Healthcare Services |
773.2 |
1,310.3 |
537.1 |
69.5 |
|
Colleges, Universities, and Professional Schools, Private |
1,377.5 |
1,849.8 |
472.3 |
34.3 |
|
Management, Scientific, and Technical Consulting Services |
779.0 |
1,250.2 |
471.2 |
60.5 |
|
(1) Data are from the National
Employment Matrix. |
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How to Use this Site |
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The navigation
bar at the top of this page will take you to the Occupation Reports
for the selected occupations. Use this information to make an
informed choice about careers in the health care sector. This
site does not cover "all" of the health care sector's occupations.
It is a selected representation of the opportunities available in the
field. |
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